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If you are searching for Nse and Bse research based pure technical trading calls. Then go through this free share tips blog and have a look at fabulous intraday tips EOD trading report for today by Market Pulse Stock Advisory. These are great tips for share brokers and stock operators besides very useful for equity investors and online traders
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Forex Trading Investing Strategies FOREX trading refers to an international, 24/7, over the counter, exchange market where currencies of different nations are
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Stock operators concept came into existence with beginning of stock exchange trading systems. Stock operators are believed to be groups or associations of stock market people may be as an individuals like share brokers, company stock operators, groups of HNI etc or even institutional investors as fund managers, fund operators who on the basic of some fundamental News in company stocks, starts accumulating shares of particular listed company shares at lower levels technically known as bottom fishing or bargain buying. Before doing such act these stock operators have all necessary data of floating stocks quantity of company shares, daily cash volume as turnover
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Stock markets are full of opportunities presented at any time for every one how you take opportunity rests with you. Basic question which immediately follows is how to identify good investing or trading opportunity during live market trading sessions. Now this is key concern of every investors and traders. When problem is identified then there lies a solution for each problem in the world.
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Market pulse stock advisory once again gave sensational performance in the field of stock market technical analysis and visitors to website and followers on Facebook are live witnesses of what we have predicted on today's market and what have come true today.
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LARSEN & TOU – Bse code – 500510 – last close – 1331.5 – BUY – 1314.6 – SL – 1268.4 – for TG1 Rs. 1361.7 and for TG2 Rs. 1382.1 – stock opened at Rs. 1339 hit intraday high Rs. 1388 hit intraday low Rs. 1326 stock was during trading up 4.2 % from previous close and closed at Rs 1381.6
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Get free recommendations on Nse Bse stocks daily premarket at 8:45 AM IST Best buy tips for intraday on Indian share markets based on technical analysis and company research. Live intraday tips are excellent market information online for net users
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Market pulse stock advisory team of good technical analysts publishing their views on Indian stock markets on regular basis which is some what helpful to read and learn Indian economic indicators on day to day basis.
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Market pulse stock advisory on it's premarket comments and share tips made predictions on some Nse Bse stock prices. Highlights of predictions made today were as under
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Good tips and recommendations on shares by Market pulse stock advisory once again came out with great deals for small independent share brokers. Here is detail report on stock guide premarket posted on our net work websites yesterday
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Yesterday our market experts posted comments on Sensex as "Sensex last closing was at 15517.92 if Sensex manages to stay above 15490 today it may test resistance level of 15662 to even 15889 with staying above 15889 fresh buying will be supported and Sensex is expected to close above 15889 in best bull run of today" and it was fantastic intraday call on Sensex as after staying and holding above 15889 Sensex did meet an intraday high of 15970.31 and closed at 15939.36
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Yesterday we commented on Indian markets in late evening and our posts were published on websites for live market watch today. About our views on Bse Sensex, CNXNifty and BankNifty technical levels and trend suggestions which worked exactly as what we have predicted.
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As premarket prediction on Nifty as "Nifty yesterday closing was at 4693.15 which is good pull back from lower levels. For tomorrow Nifty has a trading resistance at 4701 If NIfty stays above 4701 and trades above this level fresh buying support will continue for the Nifty market. While fresh long for Nifty trading below 4701 level is not recommended. " Nifty opened at 4636.90 and making a low of 4632.95 Nifty spot made a good recovery to post an intraday high of 4740.60 and closed at 4733.85 which was an expected performance of Nifty after coming back to 4700 level and holding on trade above 4701 Nifty made a good rally at the end of the trading session. Watch our daily Nifty online analysis
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14-Dec-11 Nifty trading resistance for tomorrow is at 4858.4 staying below this level Nifty cash is looking weak with possible down side target of 4747.9 to 4687.9 and may be lower. But on other side staying above 4858.4 is certainly big positive for Indian stock market in current weak outlook and upside target of 4882.4 and much more is possible. This was our info India market yesterday intraday low of Nifty was 4750.4 and today Nifty made an intraday low of 4673.85 and did recovered well to close at 4746.35 which was a good bounce back from lower level of the day whether this pull back is sustainable or not will depend on how US and European markets closes today. 4700 level of Nifty will remain a crucial trading support level for Nifty tomorrow
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When traders were looking worried about Nifty future bhavishya, India Nse market opened with gap down level at 4788.70 but Nifty just swing back to positive zone and touched an intraday high of 4839.55 and stayed majority time during trading session in the green with every fall in Nifty points get sooner recovery and faster pull back to get above 4800 level which might have raised confidence of many investors to believe some Nifty big bull operating in Nifty future. But eventually towards closing session on Mumbai stock exchange Nifty was pushed back into the red zone and made day's low of 4750.4
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Market pulse stock advisory commented on Nifty today as "13-Dec-11 Nifty closed at 4764.60 yesterday 4722 is important trading support for Nifty spot today If Nifty trades and holds below 4722 fresh selling pressure is looking to push market down to 4685.9 while 4812 is intraday resistance level for Nifty cash holding above 4812 may turn out to be slightly positive for Indian share bazaar"
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Market pulse stock advisory yet again proved importance of following good technical analysis market calls. In their premarket current Nifty News PR their Nifty experts have commented on 12-Dec-2011 as "Fresh buying will be supported for Nifty only holding above 4922 level which is trend change point for Nifty spot today. Staying below this Nifty may see some fall back but staying above this level Nifty may look for upside target of 4939 to even 5012.8" commenting on the Nifty News today one of their experts has focused importance of 4922 being a point of concern for Nifty today. This is being a trading resistance level of Nifty as well as an acting pivot point for Nifty spot today. Further buying support to market will only be believed If Nifty manages to stay above this level during trading session. Falling below 4922 will change market condition and gains made during the day may be lost by few points as market is already in fresh sell zone below 4922 in short term basis." against this India market analysis, Nifty spot made high of 4910.25 and then fall back to 4755.55 before closing at 4764.60 Market sentiments were looking extremely weak and is no better News on Mumbai stock exchange as at the time of closing sentiments were not showing any sign of better tomorrow.
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Market pulse stock advisory has published News press release before noon during live stock exchange trading session in which commenting on our own premarket Nifty analysis going forward added "Nifty closed at very weak level on technical graph and has closed at 4943.6 but is very close to its important trading resistance level for intraday of 4948 which will be acting pivot point for Nifty tomorrow. Staying above 4948 Nifty may bounce back 5012.8 to 5037.8 while staying below 4948 may take Nifty to 4897.8 to 4873.1 level. Market has already attained downside targets by opening low, Now it is possible to bounce back to level of 4948 if Nifty spot can stay above 4900 today" This was published at 11:36 am when Nifty spot was around 4875 level and market was looking very nervous, Nifty fallen back to retest day's low which was made at opening hours (fallen down to 4845 level) and then very smart Nifty recovery was seen in share bazaar with Nifty spot went on to made an intraday high of 4918.35 but stayed away from 4948 due to nervous sentiments in market coupled with big India market News which came from rating agency with a downgrade in Bse Sensex target to 14000 which spoiled market sentiments and Nifty spot could not hold above 4900 level and once again fallen back below 4900 Nifty cash managed to finally close at 4866.7
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It’s difficult in this economy to come across businesses that are not just doing well, but also doing really well at a time when traditional industry and the services sector are slow. Yet, they’re out there and it’s only because most people don’t see the products that they don’t notice. As we all know, we’re in a rising commodity price cycle. It started with oil, moved to precious metals and is now at the cusp of a major new price trend in agriculture. The weather’s been hard on crops this year and demand for cash crops is rising along with incomes in developing countries. Add in cheap money, a weaker U.S. dollar and a finite amount of productive land and it’s pretty easy to see that the agricultural economy is about to experience another boom. Because the vast majority of people don’t see farming and agriculture in their daily lives, they don’t think of it as a stock market sector in which to invest. Yet, some of the best agriculture-related businesses are now generating record financial results—that’s right, record financial results in an economy that’s in the doldrums. Consider for a moment a company called Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. (NYSE/POT). This company is the world’s largest fertilizer company by capacity and produces the three main nutrients needed to make fertilizer for farmers: potash, nitrogen and phosphate. In this economy, it’s difficult to imagine a business that’s booming, but this one is. The company just announced record second-quarter profits of $840 million (up from $480 million in the same quarter last year), while revenues grew enormously to $2.33 billion, up almost a full billion from revenues of $1.44 billion in the comparative quarter last year. The company experienced higher prices for all three of its nutrient products, as well as higher demand. That’s the best of both worlds for an enterprise. Third-quarter net income per share is expected to be between $0.80 and $1.00. Potash Corporation recently increased its full-year earnings guidance to between $3.40 and $3.80 per share. Other companies within the industry are also generating record financial results and raising guidance. Owning gold has been an obvious trade for a number of years now. While the spot price of gold is likely to correct, its long-term trend seems intact, as governments keep trying to re-inflate their economies. Now the commodity price cycle is migrating into the agricultural sector, which, along with mining, is going to experience a renaissance, likely for the rest of this decade. Accordingly, it’s a stock market sector that’s worth looking into. http://tinyurl.com/6dp7nfe
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The world economies are slowing. Japan’s credit rating was just downgraded to Aa3 from Aa2 by Moody’s due to slow growth and credit issues. My global economic analysis is that problems are brewing globally and there is a real possibility that the stalling will impact global growth and perhaps lead to another recession. In Europe, Greece is in a major sinkhole and expects its recession to worsen. Heck, after two bouts of emergency funds, Greece may have to ask for more money down the road. This cannot be good for Europe. The situation in Europe continues to focus on the debt and growth, along with the funding. And until it settles down in Europe, markets will likely continue to be shaky on this side of the Atlantic. The concern towards Germany’s sluggish growth is conjuring up fears of another potential recession if the top country cannot reverse its growth. France is also slowing. There are also concerns that the major European banks with exposure to bad debts within the weaker European countries will be in trouble, which could trigger a financial crisis. Several moves to cut global gross domestic product (GDP) are a red flag. Morgan Stanley cut its global GDP forecast for 2011 and 2012 and added that the U.S. and the Eurozone were “dangerously close to a recession.” Not exactly an endorsement. On Thursday, UBS and Citigroup cut the forecast for global and domestic GDP growth, but added that another recession was unlikely. Are they sure? Citigroup cut its global GDP forecast to 3.1% for this year from 3.4% and to 3.2% in 2012 from 3.7%. For the advanced economies, GDP was cut to a miniscule 1.4% in 2011 from 1.8% and down to 1.7% in 2012 from 2.2%. Over in China, the Chinese economy is facing higher interest rates and inflation. UBS cut China’s GDP to nine percent this year from the previous 9.3% and to 8.3% in 2012 from nine percent. While the cuts are not major, they do indicate stalling in the massive Chinese economic engine. This is something that we do not want to see, as weakness inChinawill impact Chinese exports. Slowing also indicates less foreign demand for Chinese goods, suggesting slowing global demand. The impact from the slowing in foreign markets will impact growth domestically and this is not good given that America is still trying to dig itself out of the credit and deficit mess. The reality is that the next several years will not be easy and will be littered with more obstacles. And if the U.S. cannot manage its debt, the global situation will worsen. http://tinyurl.com/6dp7nfe
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Let’s call a spade a spade. In the aftermath of our economic crisis, the U.S. government and Federal Reserve pulled out all the stops. God bless our politicians and our government. Not knowing what to do, most having never been in the situation before, once the U.S. economy collapsed in 2008 our government threw all kinds of money at the economy. They bailed out companies, they bailed out Wall Street, they saved the banks, and they tried desperately to create jobs. Sure, some will say the government went too far and saved the wrong people, but we are not talking about a bunch of people with economics degrees and years of experience running businesses. They did the best they could. At least they did something. The Federal Reserve did all it could do, too. Ben Bernanke is an extremely intelligent person. He has studied the Great Depression and Japan’s “lost decade.” During the crisis, the Fed came up with ideas I would had never thought of. They increased the money supply drastically. They bought U.S. Treasuries. They bought distressed securities…they took drastic action. What else can you ask for? So, if the government and Fed have done all this, why hasn’t our economy turned around? It’s a simple answer; human emotions have gotten in the way, big-time. The U.S. consumer has had the fear of God put in them. Many of them have lost their homes, their jobs. We all know someone who either lost their home or their job (or both) during the Great Recession. Consumers have fear in them and, until that fear goes away, the economy will not improve. U.S. consumer sentiment sits today at its lowest since 1980, according to a Thomson Reuters/University of Michiganconsumer confidence index. Consumers are running scared. Gross domestic product (GDP) in the U.S. is expected to increase an anemic 2.4% in 2012, according to a Bloomberg survey, down from a projected 2012 GDP of three percent only a month ago. Our economy could be in serious trouble if consumer sentiment towards it does not improve. For years, U.S. consumers did not have any savings. Today, the personal savings rate in this country is approaching the “unheard of” level of five percent. And it is starting to affect consumer spending. According to the U.S. Commerce Department, consumer spending in June dropped for the first time in nearly two years. But it’s not just consumers holding back; it’s big corporations, too. American companies are sitting on their biggest cash balances on record. In total, corporate America is sitting on over $1.0 trillion in cash and they are not spending. Instead of investing heavily in plants, equipment and expansion, companies are hoarding their cash, as they too are fearful of more difficult times ahead. According to the Commerce Department, consumers are sitting on $620 billion in savings. Back in 2005, this number didn’t exist. There were no savings. At the rate things are going, and the rate at which fear has been setting in, by the end of this year, consumers and businesses in America will be sitting with $2.0 trillion in savings—money sucked out of the economy. Obama and the Fed can fight the economic downturn all they want, but with consumers and businesses pulling money off the table at such an alarming pace, we are blowing in the wind. We are no longer dealing with an economic crisis. It has become a confidence crisis. And, until the confidence of consumers—who make up 70% of the economy—returns, the economy will just continue to deteriorate. http://tinyurl.com/6dp7nfe
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The results so far are showing a significant amount of earnings numbers that are beating Street expectations. This isn’t necessarily a difficult thing for a corporation to manage, but it’s certainly better than not beating consensus. http://tinyurl.com/6dp7nfe Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ/PAYX) just reported earnings that beat the Street and this is another one of those benchmark companies whose business has a good pulse on the economy. Paychex is a well-known payroll and human resources company that’s made a serious amount of wealth for its shareholders. The company just announced that its total revenues were $563.1 million for the three months ended August 31, 2011 (its fiscal first quarter of 2012), representing a solid increase of nine percent over the same quarter last year. Net income grew 13% to $148.9 million and diluted earnings per share increased 14% to $0.41 per share. Paychex management cited that it is cautiously optimistic about its fiscal 2012 year, which is no surprise considering the domestic employment situation. Currently, the company anticipates top-line revenue growth of between seven percent and nine percent this fiscal year, with earnings growing five percent to seven percent. The kicker with this stock is that it’s about seven points below its 52-week high and yielding about 4.5%. As an investor, a 10% annual return would be a reasonable expectation, and that’s without much improvement in the economy. Another well-known large-cap that just reported solid financial results is AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE/AZO). This auto-parts retailer seems to have its share price on autopilot—to the moon. The stock barely corrected during the financial crisis of 2009, and has more than doubled since then. AutoZone is another great barometer on the retail economy, as it has over 4,600 retail stores in the U.S., Puerto Rico, and Mexico. The company reported net sales of $2.6 billion in its fourth quarter (16 weeks), ended August 27, 2011, representing a solid increase of eight percent over the same quarter last year. According to the company, domestic same-store sales, or sales for stores open at least one year, increased 4.5%. Net income increased $32.5 million, or 12%, over the same period last year to $301.5 million, while diluted earnings per share increased an impressive 27% to $7.18 per share, up from $5.66 per share in the same quarter last year. For its fiscal year ended August 27, 2011, total sales grew 9.6% to $8.1 billion, while earnings per share increased 30% to $19.47 per share. The numbers solidly beat Wall Street consensus and AutoZone authorized another $750 million in new share buybacks. All this, and the stock is still trading for a reasonable valuation. As we all know, the stock market’s been consumed by all the investment risk in the global economy. Sentiment has been overwhelmed by fear and uncertainty. While not every business is doing great, the numbers are now telling us that some have weathered the storm exceedingly well and are poised for further growth. If the European sovereign debt issue can be contained, an earnings-based stock market rally seems likely in the near future.
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The results so far are showing a significant amount of earnings numbers that are beating Street expectations. This isn’t necessarily a difficult thing for a corporation to manage, but it’s certainly better than not beating consensus. http://tinyurl.com/6dp7nfe Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ/PAYX) just reported earnings that beat the Street and this is another one of those benchmark companies whose business has a good pulse on the economy. Paychex is a well-known payroll and human resources company that’s made a serious amount of wealth for its shareholders. The company just announced that its total revenues were $563.1 million for the three months ended August 31, 2011 (its fiscal first quarter of 2012), representing a solid increase of nine percent over the same quarter last year. Net income grew 13% to $148.9 million and diluted earnings per share increased 14% to $0.41 per share. Paychex management cited that it is cautiously optimistic about its fiscal 2012 year, which is no surprise considering the domestic employment situation. Currently, the company anticipates top-line revenue growth of between seven percent and nine percent this fiscal year, with earnings growing five percent to seven percent. The kicker with this stock is that it’s about seven points below its 52-week high and yielding about 4.5%. As an investor, a 10% annual return would be a reasonable expectation, and that’s without much improvement in the economy. Another well-known large-cap that just reported solid financial results is AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE/AZO). This auto-parts retailer seems to have its share price on autopilot—to the moon. The stock barely corrected during the financial crisis of 2009, and has more than doubled since then. AutoZone is another great barometer on the retail economy, as it has over 4,600 retail stores in the U.S., Puerto Rico, and Mexico. The company reported net sales of $2.6 billion in its fourth quarter (16 weeks), ended August 27, 2011, representing a solid increase of eight percent over the same quarter last year. According to the company, domestic same-store sales, or sales for stores open at least one year, increased 4.5%. Net income increased $32.5 million, or 12%, over the same period last year to $301.5 million, while diluted earnings per share increased an impressive 27% to $7.18 per share, up from $5.66 per share in the same quarter last year. For its fiscal year ended August 27, 2011, total sales grew 9.6% to $8.1 billion, while earnings per share increased 30% to $19.47 per share. The numbers solidly beat Wall Street consensus and AutoZone authorized another $750 million in new share buybacks. All this, and the stock is still trading for a reasonable valuation. As we all know, the stock market’s been consumed by all the investment risk in the global economy. Sentiment has been overwhelmed by fear and uncertainty. While not every business is doing great, the numbers are now telling us that some have weathered the storm exceedingly well and are poised for further growth. If the European sovereign debt issue can be contained, an earnings-based stock market rally seems likely in the near future.
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When you invest on a certain thing, let us say in a home-based business, you always want to get the best out of it. In other words, profit is the first thing in your mind.
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One of the stock market’s darling large-cap stocks has been Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE/CAT), up until recently. The stock hit a new record high of $116.55 around May of this year, retreated to the $95.00 per share level and fought its way back to $110.00. The stock then fell off a cliff in mid-July and is now trading between $75.00 and $80.00 a share. This is a stock that in my view should be trading for a much higher price. It likely would be if it weren’t for all the confidence problems in Europe and talk of a global recession. Right now, Caterpillar is very well valued and Street analysts are increasing their forecasts for 2012. No doubt, good timing is everything in equity investing. I think Caterpillar is a stock to keep an eye on here; it’s due for some advancement now. One stock market leader that continues to be a force for the Dow Jones Industrial Average is IBM Corporation (NYSE/IBM). Here is a stock that’s only trading a few points away from its all-time high and the company is trading at a very fair valuation. IBM has always been a strong benchmark stock and the company’s business is doing great internationally. Another Dow component that’s been outperforming since the beginning of the year is Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE/KFT). Kraft had a very successful second-quarter performance and management’s recent decision to split the company into two separate entities was very well received by Wall Street. According to the company, its second-quarter revenues grew to $13.9 billion, representing a gain of 13.3%, which is quite impressive for such a mature business. The company’s organic revenues grew 7.1% during the quarter driven by growth in all geographic markets. Kraft has also been able to institute price increases without affecting demand. This contributed to higher operating income in the second quarter and an increase to its 2011 total outlook. Kraft plans to create two independent public companies before year-end 2012. This will include a new global snacks business with estimated revenues of approximately $32.0 billion, and a separate North American grocery business with estimated revenues of approximately $16.0 billion. The two new companies should be created through a tax-free spin-off of the North American grocery business to Kraft Foods shareholders. Investors normally love these kinds of corporate actions, because they usually create wealth for stockholders that wouldn’t be as recognized by the marketplace if the company stayed whole. We’re in a market that’s conflicted by all the uncertainty in the world and the mixed data we keep getting on the economy. It’s refreshing, however, to see corporations that are able to increase their prices and not affect demand for their products. This is a trend that’s been going on for several quarters now and it makes third-quarter earnings season something to look forward to. http://tinyurl.com/6dp7nfe
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Small-caps were the winners last year, advancing 25.28%. This was not a big surprise, as small companies generally perform better while the economy recovers from a recession. So far this year, the small-cap Russell 2000 is lagging, as we near the end of the third quarter, down 13.71% as of Wednesday versus -3.34% and -4.00% for the DOW and NASDAQ, respectively. The Russell 2000 is down nearly 22% from its 52-week high and is in a bear stock market. While you may want to hold off on loading up on small-caps at this time, the valuations are becoming quite attractive and may be worth a look for investors. And while I view the holding of large-cap stocks as an integral part of your portfolio, for added overall portfolio returns, you need to add small-cap and mid-cap stocks. These stocks add to the risk component of your portfolio, but you are compensated by a higher overall expected return from your investments. Basic modern portfolio theory tells us that you can increase the expected return of a portfolio by simply adding more risk. This is the advantage of adding small-caps. It may sound complicated, but it’s quite simple. Think of it this way. When you buy a stock like General Electric Company (NYSE/GE), it’s considered a “widow stock,” in that it can be held for the long-term without you having to actively monitor it. Of course, this used to be the case, but it simply no longer applies; however, for argument’s sake, let’s categorize GE as a safe play. GE is what we term a “blue-chip” stock—a large-cap company that has a history of steady revenues and earnings and pays a dividend. The company growth tends to be stable and holds little surprise. The expected return from the stock tends to be a mix of dividends (income) and a small growth component. Investors who buy GE tend to choose the stock for its steadier performance over time, which has been proven over a long period of time. A standard and simple measure of stock risk versus the market is called “beta”—a quantitative measure of systematic or market risk that cannot be diversified away and is generally in relation to the S&P 500 or another market/benchmark. A beta of less than one implies that a stock has less risk than the market and hence less expected return, whereas a beta of greater than one implies a higher comparative risk versus the market, meaning possibly higher expected returns As an example on the small-cap side, take a look at semiconductor company Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ/KLIC). The stock has a beta of 2.92 versus GE’s beta of 1.85. This means that KLIC incorporates greater risk than GE and both have higher risk than the S&P 500. In addition, the two stocks will tend to move in correlation to the broader market. For instance, should the S&P 500 move up, KLIC would move up by 2.92X the move of the index in theory; should the S&P 500 move down, KLIC would move lower by 2.92X the amount the index moves down. When markets rally, high beta stocks will tend to fare better. But a note of warning—buying only higher beta stocks does not necessarily translate into higher returns, as it also results in greater volatility and downside risk when the broader market declines. To increase the overall risk of your holdings, you need to increase the expected return. The most important fact to understand is that you can increase the risk-reward profile of your portfolio by adding small-cap stocks and/or sectors that have higher growth potential. If the global economies settle down and show renewed growth, look to small-caps to outperform. http://tinyurl.com/6dp7nfe
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Everything in business is based on confidence—without it, the whole system comes apart. If it’s one thing I’m confident about these days it’s corporate earnings. The stock market will convulse if it wants to, but what’s most important in my mind is what corporations are saying about their businesses. In another good sign for this earnings season, the largest drugstore chain in the United States, Walgreen Co. (NYSE/WAG), reported excellent earnings that beat consensus, but also showed a solid improvement in revenues. This is a positive sign for the retail economy. According to the company, its earnings were 792 million dollars, or $0.87 per share, in its latest quarter ended August 31, 2011. This compares to earnings of 470 million dollars, or $0.49 per share. Excluding a one-time gain, Walgreen’s adjusted earnings were $0.57 per share, topping Wall Street expectations of $0.55 per share. The company’s revenues grew just over six percent during the quarter to 17.96 billion dollars. Revenues from stores open at least a year grew 4.4%. Another very positive earnings report came from office furniture maker Herman Miller, Inc. (NASDAQ/MLHR), which reported very good financial results that also beat the Street. The company announced fiscal first-quarter revenues, ended September 3, 2011, of 458.1 million dollars, representing a solid increase of 20% over the same quarter last year. Company management cited that its gross margin improved 120 basis points, as the business was able to increase its prices without affecting demand. This went straight to the bottom line, as earnings grew to 24.6 million dollars, or $0.42 per diluted share, compared to earnings of 16.1 million dollars, or $0.22 per share, for an impressive gain of 91% on a per-share basis. Of course, not all industries are doing well and it’s pretty obvious that the slow economy is hitting small businesses the most. But the general trend in corporate earnings is still very positive and, from my perspective, it makes the current stock market somewhat undervalued. The S&P 500 Index has been experiencing a correction since July of this year. The Index dropped from approximately 1,350 to its current level around 1,200. That’s a meaningful correction and fits into the medium-term trend from the market low in March of 2009. If the Europe sovereign debt crisis can be abated, then I think the probability of stocks experiencing a solid rally will increase significantly. All this market needs is confidence—confidence that the euro currency won’t come apart and that the U.S. economy is stabilized and poised for improvement. With corporate earnings expected to be strong once again, stocks should jump smartly on any good news on the economic front, however small. The caveat is Europe. If confidence in European sovereign debt can be improved, stocks could move much higher over the near term. If confidence deteriorates, all the good earnings results won’t mean a thing. http://www.profitconfidential.com/signup/index.php?sb=PCABSH&affid=wp1029 &subid=rs1
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FedEx Corp. (NYSE/FDX), which runs the world’s biggest cargo airline, is a company that economists and analysts often look to as a gauge of future business activity. Last week, FedEx stock hit a two-year low. Yes, you can buy the stock of this excellently run company today for the same price it sold for in mid-2009. Why? FedEx reported last week that it would earn less this year than previously estimated, as FedEx saw its U.S. shipments fall for the second quarter in a row. The stock of United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE/UPS), FedEx’s main competitor, is close to a two-year low as well. All in all, FedEx’s recent earnings results and earnings forecast for the entire year are better than expected. FedEx is reporting U.S. shipments declined on three percent in its latest quarter. Given the continued conservatism of businesses, the backlash from the delayed increase in the government spending limit by Congress, the economic woes in Europe, and general pessimism amongst American consumers, FedEx’s business activity report is actually encouraging. No, I wouldn’t run out and buy this stock. At a dividend yield of less than one percent and a price/earnings multiple of over 15, this stock is still too expensive for me. But what’s encouraging is that this bellwether company is telling us that the U.S. economy isn’t crashing. What I can tell from FedEx’s reports is that there is no economic growth in the U.S. and that business is slowly deteriorating, not collapsing. Based on FedEx’s forecasted earnings, retail sales in the U.S. will not crash this year. More than likely, retail sales in the U.S. will pull back this holiday season below last year’s numbers. Hence, I wouldn’t be rushing out to buy any retail stocks either. The bottom line in this economic analysis: the economy is not crashing as last week’s stock market mini-crash indicated. On the other hand, despite the trillions thrown at the economy by the government, economic activity is slowly declining, as opposed to improving. Michael’s Personal Notes: Since President Obama took office, the sales of firearms have soared in America. Gun sales have hit record numbers each year Obama has been President; this year on track for 15 million guns to be sold for the first time (Source: Bloomberg 9/11/11). Why is this happening? There are three possible reasons gun sales are soaring. First, gun enthusiasts fear that the poor economy will set off more crime. Second, citizens could fear political upheaval or riots over possible austerity measures that may be introduced eventually (like in Greece and other European countries). Finally, some believe President Obama may move to ban the sale of more aggressive guns (like assault weapons) to citizens. Ironically, the soaring gun sales in America, extremely low consumer confidence levels, and surveys that show a high percentage of American expect us to enter a depression within the next 12 months bode well for the bear market rally. The stock market loves nothing more than to climb a wall of worry when all expect it to fall. Pessimism is reaching record high levels. Where the Market Stands; Where it’s Headed: As I had been writing, the stock market was oversold and ready for a rebound, and that’s exactly what we got. Since the Dow Jones Industrial’s big one-day sell-off last Thursday, the Dow Jones has bounced back about 5.6%. It’s been quite a seesaw summer for stocks and we’re not that far away from breakeven for 2011. I’m making a bold prediction: stocks will end this year higher than they started 2011. Why? Because there is too much bearish consensus around; because the Fed and the government remain very accommodative; because there are not many alternatives to stocks. Yes, we’re still in a bear market rally…and this could be the final year for that rally. But don’t underestimate the strength of this rally. The bear would like nothing better than to take more investors into the market before turning south again. FedEx Corp. (NYSE/FDX), which runs the world’s biggest cargo airline, is a company that economists and analysts often look to as a gauge of future business activity. Last week, FedEx stock hit a two-year low. Yes, you can buy the stock of this excellently run company today for the same price it sold for in mid-2009. Why? FedEx reported last week that it would earn less this year than previously estimated, as FedEx saw its U.S. shipments fall for the second quarter in a row. The stock of United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE/UPS), FedEx’s main competitor, is close to a two-year low as well. All in all, FedEx’s recent earnings results and earnings forecast for the entire year are better than expected. FedEx is reporting U.S. shipments declined on three percent in its latest quarter. Given the continued conservatism of businesses, the backlash from the delayed increase in the government spending limit by Congress, the economic woes in Europe, and general pessimism amongst American consumers, FedEx’s business activity report is actually encouraging. No, I wouldn’t run out and buy this stock. At a dividend yield of less than one percent and a price/earnings multiple of over 15, this stock is still too expensive for me. But what’s encouraging is that this bellwether company is telling us that the U.S. economy isn’t crashing. What I can tell from FedEx’s reports is that there is no economic growth in the U.S. and that business is slowly deteriorating, not collapsing. Based on FedEx’s forecasted earnings, retail sales in the U.S. will not crash this year. More than likely, retail sales in the U.S. will pull back this holiday season below last year’s numbers. Hence, I wouldn’t be rushing out to buy any retail stocks either. The bottom line in this economic analysis: the economy is not crashing as last week’s stock market mini-crash indicated. On the other hand, despite the trillions thrown at the economy by the government, economic activity is slowly declining, as opposed to improving. Michael’s Personal Notes: Since President Obama took office, the sales of firearms have soared in America. Gun sales have hit record numbers each year Obama has been President; this year on track for 15 million guns to be sold for the first time (Source: Bloomberg 9/11/11). Why is this happening? There are three possible reasons gun sales are soaring. First, gun enthusiasts fear that the poor economy will set off more crime. Second, citizens could fear political upheaval or riots over possible austerity measures that may be introduced eventually (like in Greece and other European countries). Finally, some believe President Obama may move to ban the sale of more aggressive guns (like assault weapons) to citizens. Ironically, the soaring gun sales in America, extremely low consumer confidence levels, and surveys that show a high percentage of American expect us to enter a depression within the next 12 months bode well for the bear market rally. The stock market loves nothing more than to climb a wall of worry when all expect it to fall. Pessimism is reaching record high levels. Where the Market Stands; Where it’s Headed: As I had been writing, the stock market was oversold and ready for a rebound, and that’s exactly what we got. Since the Dow Jones Industrial’s big one-day sell-off last Thursday, the Dow Jones has bounced back about 5.6%. It’s been quite a seesaw summer for stocks and we’re not that far away from breakeven for 2011. I’m making a bold prediction: stocks will end this year higher than they started 2011. Why? Because there is too much bearish consensus around; because the Fed and the government remain very accommodative; because there are not many alternatives to stocks. Yes, we’re still in a bear market rally…and this could be the final year for that rally. But don’t underestimate the strength of this rally. The bear would like nothing better than to take more investors into the market before turning south again. http://www.profitconfidential.com/signup/index.php?sb=PCABSH&affid=wp1029 &subid=rs1
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A new report by DigiTimes is claiming that the companies that manufacture and supply components to be used in the production of Apple’s next-generation iPhone and iPad devices are preparing for an October launch of both of these devices.
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The recent stock market selloff was due to the U.S. Federal Reserve saying that the domestic economy faces some serious challenges over the next year. The central bank didn’t take much in the way of new policy action, because there isn’t much left their toolbox. Interest rates can’t go much lower; therefore, the economy is on its own. I pretty much have the expectation that the U.S. economy is likely to produce little to no growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the next two quarters. Investors, who already sold stocks after reducing their expectations for the future, have now had to do the same thing again. Given the earnings picture, I still view the stock market as very fairly valued at this time. Commodities (precious metals in particular) are now experiencing a well-deserved price correction and this makes for an opportune time to be considering new positions in resources. One of the few industry sectors to be generating any material growth in revenue and earnings is resource-related, and now is a great time for contrarians to step up to the plate. It’s really quite amazing for the spot price of oil to be trading below $80.00 a barrel. The spot price of oil continues to be the barometer for financial markets and speculators are betting that the global economy will be in a greater rut than previously expected. But with this reality, a lot of growing oil and gas companies are cheaply valued…and I think investors can be buying right now. I also like the longer-run prospects for silver, which hasn’t traded commensurately with gold. Investor sentiment is likely to improve when third-quarter earnings season begins. The financials usually report early on, so there could be a shaky start. One of the things that non-resource corporations are doing is sitting on their cash. Big companies are acting just like stock market investors—they’re afraid to make new investments, because the outlook is so uncertain. All in all, it’s a tough time to be an investor in anything. Investment risk is very high for everything but cash. One of the big issues that has to be addressed before corporations and investors feel confident about making new investments is the sovereign debt issue in Europe. Financial markets need to see a concrete plan to get out of the current mess and a timetable for the execution of such a strategy. Only with certainty will all the money sitting on the sidelines be put to work. At this time, a lot of well-managed, large-cap companies are seeing their share prices now well off their highs. It happened very fast. Yields have gone up and the opportunities for long-term investors are getting much more attractive. We’re in a wait-and-see market, with little expectation for capital gains. http://www.profitconfidential.com/signup/index.php?sb=PCABSH&affid=wp1029 &subid=rs1
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In the depth of a bear market in gold prices, back in 2001, a bull market in gold was born. Gold bullion traded for about $300.00 an ounce in late 2011, early 2002, and yours truly became a staunch advocate of gold at that time. Since the beginning of the bull market in gold, we’ve seen an often repeated pattern: gold bullion prices advance sharply, profit taking comes in, the “weak hands” (as I call them) dump their gold as the price for bullion falls, prices bottom out, and the bull market continues. This pattern has been repeated for 11 years now. After reaching an all-time record high of $1,921 an ounce on September 6, 2011, gold bullion prices have fallen back to $1,630 an ounce this morning. Could gold prices fall further? Sure they could. A 20% correction in the price of gold bullion could bring the metal down to $1,536 an ounce. But is it the end of the bull market in gold bullion? Of course not! But remember, gold is up $333.00 an ounce over the past 12 months—26%—so it has plenty of room to give back some dollars and still be in a bull market. We’ve been down this route many times before. The human memory is very short-term in nature. In early 2003, the price of gold bullion fell 16%; in the summer of 2006, the price of gold fell 21%; from the spring to the fall of 2008, gold prices fell 28%; in the spring of 2009, gold prices fell 15%—and each time the price of gold bullion recovered and moved higher by the year’s end. In fact, for 11 years running, the price of gold bullion has closed each year higher in price than it started the year. Separating the men from the boys—that’s what corrections in bull markets are all about: seizing the moment as an opportunity, as opposed to panicking and selling one’s holdings. This time is no different. Michael’s Personal Notes: An icon has moved closer to becoming a casualty of the Internet. In its heyday, Eastman Kodak Co. (NYSE/EK), often referred to as just Kodak, was a company to be reckoned with. Founded by George Eastman in 1892, the company’s name became synonymous with the word “film.” But, as the years passed, and technology advanced, Kodak’s business suffered. People take pictures with their mobile phones today. Or they take pictures with cameras and download the images onto their personal computers or Facebook page as opposed to printing the pictures. This year, Kodak is headed for its sixth annual loss in seven years. In 2010, the company lost $678 million. Most disturbing for me, last week the 131-year-old company drew down $160 million from its revolving bank credit line—not a good sign. Where the Market Stands; Where it’s Headed: The stock market is severely oversold and due for a bounce. For the four days ended September 22, 2011, the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced its biggest four-day drop since 2008. About $1.1 trillion in value was wiped from stocks last week. I believe that a bear market rally in stocks that started in March 2009 continues to preside.
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The stock market sold off last Thursday. Even gold could not avoid the collapse, as the October gold futures plummeted to $1,700. We have the debt crisis in Europe, with Greece facing a default situation unless its austerity program is accepted by lenders. Moody’s downgraded eight Greek banks after several Italian banks were also downgraded. Watch the S&P 500 as it nears a critical support level of 1,125 and the four-week low at 1,114. A break could send the index down to below 1,100. Small-caps are getting hammered, with the Russell 2000 down over 26% from its high and now technically in a bear market. Watch over the next few days to see if oversold buying emerges. There is nowhere to hide. Even gold and metal plays are being dumped despite gold being a safe-haven play. Investors are clearly dumping everything. This could be an opportunity to buy on weakness; but, without a firm base, there could be additional downside moves. Watching your asset value decline is not great, but you can minimize the effect. I continue to recommend using put options or buying short-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to offset the weakness. It’s easy and cost-effective as a defensive hedge. Don’t be put off by options. They are a great risk-management tool that is more than often overlooked by the retail investor or trader, but used often by the pro traders and institutions. The SPY index option that tracks the S&P 500 is a top trader on the CBOE. You can buy puts for stocks and sectors. Take a look at your holdings and break them down according to the sector, whether they’re technology, industrial, small-cap, large-cap, etc. The second step is to take a look at the various indices that closely reflect your holdings. If you are heavily weighted in technology, you can buy put options on the PowerShares ETFs (NASDAQ/QQQ), a heavily traded ETF in technology. Or let’s say you have benefited from the run-up in gold and silver to record historical highs, a strategy may be to buy put options on the Philadelphia Gold & Silver Sector (NASDAQ/XAU), which tracks 16 major gold stocks and silver stocks. To play the near-term downside weakness in small-caps, you could buy the ETF ProShares UltraShort Russell 2000 (NYSE/TWM). Alternatively, if you hold a large position in several stocks, you can buy put options on these individual stocks and help protect against a major downside move. Be careful and remember that maintaining your capital will allow you to trade longer-term. With the upside limited at this point, you may also want to write some covered call options to generate premium income and reduce the average cost base of your positions. But be careful, as an oversold rebound could take out your position at the call strike price. Make sure you are comfortable with the upper strike price of your covered call. Make sure it’s above the key resistance of the stock. The key now is prudence and protecting your assets. < a href="http://www.profitconfidential.com/signup/index.php?sb=PCABSH&affid=wp1029&subid=rs1">http://www.profitconfidential.com/signup/index.php?sb=PCABSH&affid=wp1029 &subid=rs1</a>
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pell grant sources.This article includes a list of references, but its sources remain unclear. A Pell Grant is money the federal government provides for students who need it to pay.
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I’m so excited this morning; I can hardly control my excitement. Being the type of person who looks at the glass half-full as opposed to half-empty, I see yesterday’s sell-off in most investment categories as presenting investors with huge opportunities for profit. Let’s start with the stock market: Since August, there have been five breakdowns by the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the 10,500 level. Subsequent to each of the downside moves, the stock market has rallied. As of last night’s close, the Dow Jones Industrials are selling at only 12.2 times this year’s earnings! The Dow Jones Industrials offer a dividend yield today of 2.9%—trumping most other forms of investment in respect to income. The stock market is severely oversold; there is great value in stocks. Moving to precious metals, the big correction in gold and silver I have been predicting and warning about is on! Finally, gold’s back under $1,700 an ounce. Finally, silver is back under $33.00 an ounce. If you believe that the world’s financial problems will go away, if you believe that the U.S. will get out from under its mountain of debt, sell your gold. On the other hand, if you recognize that gold bullion has risen $397.00 an ounce in the past 12 months (31%) and investors are finally taking some profits off the table, if you believe that the world’s economic problems will only get worse, that the U.S. will continue piling on the debt, that U.S. dollars will continue to be printed at a rate that spurs inflation (all the stuff I believe), then you might want to take this opportunity to buy more gold investments (like I am). “Global Stocks Enter Bear Market,” said the headline on a Bloomberg news story yesterday. Investors are panicking again and stock advisors are at the most bearish level in months. When you see this amount of negativity, stocks usually go the other way and climb the wall of worry higher. Stock market rallies end when investors are most optimistic, not when they are as pessimistic as they are today. Michael’s Personal Notes: Shares of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE/BRK-A) are trading at $100,000 for the first time since the beginning of 2010. I believe there are two reasons this is happening and I don’t believe the price action of Berkshire stock is indicative of the future of general stock prices. First of all, the company’s reinsurance units have taken a hit. Japan’s earthquake in March and the U.S. windstorms this year have resulted in Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group taking a loss in the first half of 2011. Secondly, as the company has grown so much, it’s just getting tougher to make deals with big returns. Most of Buffett’s bets have been secure ones: buying preferred shares of big companies and getting a small of amount of warrants as a bonus. The bigger Berkshire has become, the more difficult it has become to make deals where the eventual returns are substantial. Berkshire will be hard pressed to find a deal like Coca-Cola again. Where the Market Stands; Where it’s Headed: Despite yesterday’s sell-off in stocks, I believe we continue to be in a bear market rally in stocks that started in March of 2009. Yes, the rally has been long and is getting tired, but I believe the bear market rally has more upside potential left. What He Said: “Partying Like a Drunken Sailor: The party continues. Stocks are making new highs and people are spending like there is no tomorrow. Why? I really don’t know. Big (cap) stocks, they just continue going up. Wall Street bonuses are at record levels. Popular consumer goods are flying off the shelves. Designer clothes, fast and expensive cars, restaurants with one-hour waits…people are spending in America today at an unbelievable clip. 1932, 1933…who remembers those years? The depression of the 1930s was the biggest bust of modern history. 2005, 2006, 2007…welcome to the biggest boom of the same period. When will it all end? Soon, my dear reader. Soon.” Michael Lombardi in PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL, February 7, 2007. Michael started talking about and predicting the financial catastrophe we began experiencing in 2008 long before anyone else.
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No, no, no! They’ve got it all wrong! The actions of the government and the Fed are contra to what the economy needs to get it going! More damage is being caused to the economy than good. You’ll read a lot today about the Federal Reserve’s statement yesterday that it will buy long-term treasuries in an effort to bring down long-term interest rates. That’s a mistake in my opinion. It’s counter-productive. Sure, the argument will be that lower long-term interest rates will be good for the real estate market. But we must realize that consumers are not interested in buying homes. The 30-year mortgage rate was already at a 30-year low before yesterday’s announcement and consumers were not buying homes. You can bring long-term interest rates to two percent and consumers will not move to buy houses, because they have no faith that housing will move up in price! Now look at the repercussions of bringing long-term interest rates down: Seniors dependent on long-term bond income will have less income, which means they will spend less, actually hurting the economy. The rate of inflation will not outstrip the return on long-term bonds, making the dollar less valuable…any investor buying bonds today is losing the purchasing value of his/her money, as inflation outstrips investment returns. Many economists said yesterday that the Fed’s attempt to lower long-term interest rates will not provide any significant stimulus. In fact, three Fed officials voted against the move. You’ll hear news today that the stock market is going down because the Fed indicated yesterday that there is “significant downside risks” to the economy. Stocks are not going down because of this. The market and investors already know the economy is fragile; after all, the stock market is a leading indicator! The stock market is going down today because the traders need to make money and they make big money on big market shifts. Banks don’t make much money on lending anymore; hence they need to figure out other ways to make money, and day trading is a great way to do it. Remember, big banks like Goldman Sachs make money—big money—on at least 90% of the trading days. Michael’s Personal Notes: Is there something wrong with this picture? The European Union (EU) and the International Money Fund (IMF) will only inject money into Greece if the Greek government meets certain fiscal goals. Fair enough. But the targets are unreasonable; they don’t make sense. Greece is pledging to reduce its deficit to about 7.5% of its gross domestic product (GDP) this year. To give you an idea of how over the top this is, last year the U.S. deficit was equal to about 11.4% of GDP. In order to meet the hefty fiscal goals set by the EU and IMF, Greece has accelerated its austerity measures. Just look at some of these new measures: A 20% cut to pensions of more than 1,200 euros a month (so much for a retirement plan) A 40% cut to pensions paid to those younger than 55 for amounts exceeding 1,000 euros A cut to the wages of 30,000 state employees There will more riots in Greece over these new austerity measures. But what is Greece to do? Lenders are demanding cuts to government spending prior to delivering a much-needed cash injection due to Greece next month. If we ever pull out from this economic malaise, some of these smaller European countries will come out financially stronger than ever. Where the Market Stands; Where it’s Headed: We are in phase II of a bear market, which started in October of 2007. Phase I brought stock prices steeply lower in the period of October 2007 to March 2009. Phase II of the bear market, which we are presently in, brings stock prices back up so that investors are lured back into the stock market under a false sense that the economy has improved or is improving. Since March of 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 73%. Phase III of a bear market brings stocks back to the point where the Phase II started (6,440 on the Dow Jones Industrials). My opinion is that the current Phase II of this bear market—the “rebound rally,” as it’s often referred to—is not over yet. Pessimism prevails, not optimism. Bear market rallies top out on investor optimism—something we don’t have today. <a href="http://tinyurl.com/3ha7f6y">http://tinyurl.com/3ha7f6y</a>
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Again, I want to reiterate how impressive the current strength is in the broader stock market. We continue to get lackluster news on employment, housing and consumer prices, but the stock market seems to be moving beyond the bad news. Institutional investors are focused on stability with the sovereign debt issue in Europe and the upcoming third-quarter earnings season. I wrote about the strength in some large-cap companies, but the real standouts in terms of capital appreciation continue to be in gold mining shares. Even as the spot price of gold is retreating, taking a well-deserved break from its recent run, all kinds of gold stocks are hitting new record highs. It’s not with the same fervor—not by any stretch—but it would seem that gold stocks are the new technology high flyers. Only this time, these businesses are generating some serious bottom-line earnings for stockholders. For equity speculators, I think it’s very fair to conclude that gold and silver mining should become a sector with significant focus and attention. With the current state of the economy and the prospect for little to no growth in gross domestic product (GDP) over the next several quarters, speculative investors will be far better off learning about the mining business than any other industry group. The technology sector used to be the hottest—now resources are: real assets that can produce returns while the Main Street economy stagnates. As always, timing is everything in the equity speculation business. I’ve witnessed dozens of gold mining stocks go up significantly in value over the last several months. Trying to find value in the gold mining business is becoming more difficult, but it is out there. Because the gold mining business model is so attractive ($1,800 spot price with an average cash cost of $500.00 an ounce), earnings growth has been spectacular. Even though gold miners have already seen their share prices soar, many of these stocks are not expensively priced at this time, because the earnings portion of the equation has been so robust. I would love to see a major correction in the spot price of gold and in gold shares. This would present a most attractive new entry point for equity speculators. The mining business is where the growth is, right now and in the future. Whether it be financially, operationally or in terms of expected returns, it’s a great time to be in or associated with this business. If I was a student graduating from college next spring, I’d go right into the mining business. The commodity price cycle is only at the end of its beginning. http://tinyurl.com/3ha7f6y
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The oldest park in Assam, Kaziranga, on the south bank of the Brahmaputra River, is world famous for its great Indian one-horned rhinoceros, of which there are aplenty. It also one of the most momentous natural habitats for conservation of biological biodiversity in India. Spread across 430 sq km, it is a dazzling mosaic of dense rain-forest, tall elephant grass and swathes of reeds interspersed with vast tracts of marshes and shallow pools that are a favourite haunt of this celebrity pre-historic beast. Wlid elephant, hog deer and barasingha also abound.
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The land comprises of gravels and by all means is infertile, there may be exceptions but the land owners are very poor. The dependence of large herds of livestock especially cattle is another menace. Since we cannot utilize beef for food in India the holding population of old animals is unfeasible and puts further pressure on the ecosystem.
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It’s a bird. No, it’s a plane. Maybe it’s Superman! Sorry, it’s none of these things; it’s your friendly central banker to the rescue again! Couldn’t believe the news yesterday morning… To calm banking concerns in Europe, mostly centered around the repercussions of a default by Greece, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the Swiss National Bank and even our own Federal Reserve are providing three-month loans to euro-area banks. Will this work? And where is the money coming from? The markets loved the news that central banks are basically backstopping European banks. And why wouldn’t the stock market love the news? After all, bank stock prices rise on such news and, when the bank stocks go up, so does the general stock market. However, I believe this is a short-term solution, similar to a bandage. The big question that members of the euro currency need to answer is: will they let Greece go under or will they support it? Until that question is answered, the lack of confidence in the euro-area banks will continue. In respect to how they’ll pay for it, to lend billions to the troubled European banks, world central banks will need to print more money. You can’t lend money if you don’t have it. Sure, we’ll be told these are loans that will be repaid and that the central banks will actually make money on the loans. But, as I said, you can’t loan money you don’t have. You need to print it first. The more money central that banks print worldwide, the higher gold bullion prices go, the more valuable gold investments become, and the great the chance of inflation. That’s simple economic analysis. Michael’s Personal Notes: After pulling back on their foreclosure activities, as lenders faced scrutiny from State governments over sloppy paperwork, it looks like lenders hit the ground running in August. According to California-based data provider RealtyTrac Inc., default notices to delinquent U.S. homeowners jumped 33% in August from July. First-time default notices were sent to 78,880 properties in August—again, that’s only first-time default notices! Total foreclosure filing jumped seven percent in August to 228,098 filings. The U.S. real estate market isn’t getting better, as some would have us believe. If we look at the numbers, lenders are getting serious again about foreclosing. This will glut the housing market with inventory and place more downward pressure on housing prices. Forget those new-homebuilding stocks for a while longer! Where the Market Stands: Where it’s Headed: What a difference a couple of days make! After yesterday’s big rally (which coincided with my article Thursday morning (“Huge Bearish Sentiment to Propel Stock Market Rally”), the market is close to breakeven for 2011. With so much negativity in the marketplace, with so many stock advisors turning bullish, this bear market rally is picking up with some real life. I continue to believe we are in a bear market rally that started in March of 2009. Stocks will continue to ride “the wall of worry” higher.
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Again, I want to reiterate how impressive the current strength is in the broader stock market. We continue to get lackluster news on employment, housing and consumer prices, but the stock market seems to be moving beyond the bad news. Institutional investors are focused on stability with the sovereign debt issue in Europe and the upcoming third-quarter earnings season. I wrote about the strength in some large-cap companies, but the real standouts in terms of capital appreciation continue to be in gold mining shares. Even as the spot price of gold is retreating, taking a well-deserved break from its recent run, all kinds of gold stocks are hitting new record highs. It’s not with the same fervor—not by any stretch—but it would seem that gold stocks are the new technology high flyers. Only this time, these businesses are generating some serious bottom-line earnings for stockholders. For equity speculators, I think it’s very fair to conclude that gold and silver mining should become a sector with significant focus and attention. With the current state of the economy and the prospect for little to no growth in gross domestic product (GDP) over the next several quarters, speculative investors will be far better off learning about the mining business than any other industry group. The technology sector used to be the hottest—now resources are: real assets that can produce returns while the Main Street economy stagnates. As always, timing is everything in the equity speculation business. I’ve witnessed dozens of gold mining stocks go up significantly in value over the last several months. Trying to find value in the gold mining business is becoming more difficult, but it is out there. Because the gold mining business model is so attractive ($1,800 spot price with an average cash cost of $500.00 an ounce), earnings growth has been spectacular. Even though gold miners have already seen their share prices soar, many of these stocks are not expensively priced at this time, because the earnings portion of the equation has been so robust. I would love to see a major correction in the spot price of gold and in gold shares. This would present a most attractive new entry point for equity speculators. The mining business is where the growth is, right now and in the future. Whether it be financially, operationally or in terms of expected returns, it’s a great time to be in or associated with this business. If I was a student graduating from college next spring, I’d go right into the mining business. The commodity price cycle is only at the end of its beginning.
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oyal and long-term readers know I’m a contrarian investor at heart. When investors are selling in droves, I want to buy. Similarly, when investors are buying stocks as a herd, I’m selling. And this brings me to today’s very important issue. I follow several services that gauge the sentiment of consumers, investors, and stock advisors. And from 30 years of investing experience, I can tell you that the stock market usually does the opposite of what the consensus believes it will do. As an example, in March of 2009, at the depth of market pessimism, when investors and stock market advisors were at their most negative consensus in years, the stock market took off. In October of 2007, when investors and advisors were at an extreme bullish level, stocks started to crash. My news today is that, over the past couple of weeks, the number of stock advisors who have turned bearish on the stock market has reached a level not seen since the fall of 2010 (Source: Investors Intelligence). Stock advisors have left the bullish camp in droves and have jumped onto the bearish bandwagon. Wherever I look, I see blatant negativity. The bears are aggressively outnumbering the bulls, and when I see this kind of action…the stock market usually rallies. Investors pulled big money out of the stock market in August. A recent CNN-sponsored poll says that almost half of all Americans expect a depression within the next 12 months. Negativity is at extreme levels. What I’m saying today is that there is sufficient bearishness among investors and stock advisors for the stock market to give us a meaningful rally from here. If I were to short the stock market right now, I’d be covering my shorts. Michael’s Personal Notes: “Is silver still a good buy?” This is a question I regularly hear from precious metals investors these days. The simple answer is that I believe silver prices have gotten a little ahead of themselves. Yes, I like the long-term prospects for most precious metals, but silver prices have already enjoyed a spectacular run-up and are due for a correction. This morning, it takes 45 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold bullion—the high-end of the historic price relationship between the metals. At the end of 2008, it took 80 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold—silver prices have come a long way. If we look over the past 12-month period, gold bullion prices have risen 42%, while silver prices have soared more than double that—silver has risen in price 96% in the past 12-month period. I believe that, after spectacular run-ups, both gold and silver prices are headed for a correction. I won’t sell my gold—as prices move lower, I will use that opportunity to buy more gold investments. But to make silver a screaming buy for me once again, either the price of the metal has to decline or the price of gold has to rise to close the gold/silver price ratio gap. Where the Market Stands: Where it’s Headed: Stocks are closing the gap on their loss for 2011. After yesterday’s 140-point rally by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, stocks are down 2.7% for 2011. The stock market continues to climb the proverbial “wall of worry.” I believe that the market will move higher from here, as the bear market rally that started back in March of 2009 continues its advance.
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If you really want to have your own business, take heed. You are in for a bumpy ride. My goal is to help people like you to make those bumps as small as possible by giving you the best tools to help you grow as quickly as possible and also to help you avoid some of the usual pitfalls that new businesses face. I am driven to see you succeed. But you have to be ready for the problems, the difficult customers, the down times. If you are tough enough, you will get through them all and then…you will love those ups! There is nothing better than the feeling of pride that comes with a successful business of your own.
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This is a blog about my personal journey to becoming a professional Forex trader. I share my trades and other helpful tips that I am learning.
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High Yield Investment program or HYIP is a very risky investation program, because it has very high potential to be scam. Therefore there are a few suggestions that I will give to you about how to invest in HYIP program. (Attention, all you have to do on it is on your own risk, I just show tips to start and to invest in a HYIP program only). Before we play some games on HYIP programs, we must prepare a strong mentality first (someone who potentially have a heart attack, don’t go in it. LOL).
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